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Barleben vs Jena II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2017/2018
Barleben Logo

Barleben

1 - 2
FT
Jena II Logo

Jena II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2017/2018 game between Barleben and Jena II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jena II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Barleben
20%
Draws
22%
Jena II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barleben

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Jena II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Barleben's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jena II have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Barleben Clean Sheet 19%
Jena II Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barleben Jena II
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2018 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Barleben vs Jena II
1:2
Aug 19, 2017 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Barleben
1:0
Feb 25, 2017 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Jena II vs Barleben
7:0
Aug 13, 2016 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Barleben vs Jena II
1:2
Apr 15, 2016 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Barleben vs Jena II
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barleben 85 / 100
Jena II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barleben Jena II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Jena II conceded in 73% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Barleben went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jena II's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jena II
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barleben

(Home)
03 Jun
Barleben
1 : 1
Eilenburg
27 May
Wismut Gera
1 : 3
Barleben
20 May
Barleben
4 : 4
Plauen
12 May
Inter Leipzig
2 : 1
Barleben
10 May
SV Merseburg 99
0 : 3
Barleben
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Jena II

(Away)
18 Jun
Jena II
2 : 6
Krieschow
11 Jun
Jena II
4 : 2
Bautzen
04 Jun
Jena II
0 : 1
Einheit Wernigerode
28 May
Inter Leipzig
4 : 0
Jena II
21 May
Grimma
3 : 0
Jena II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 23 5 2 70:16 74
2 Inter Leipzig 30 20 2 8 59:21 62
3 Jena II 30 17 9 4 67:39 60
4 Plauen 30 17 4 9 55:53 55
5 Eilenburg 30 14 8 8 50:32 50
6 Bernburg 30 13 8 9 59:38 47
7 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 14 4 12 56:43 46
8 Krieschow 30 12 3 15 61:64 39
9 Halle 30 10 7 13 28:39 37
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 6 14 54:54 36
11 Wismut Gera 30 9 7 14 41:54 34
12 Stendal 30 8 9 13 36:54 33
13 Barleben 30 9 6 15 35:54 33
14 Schott Jena 30 9 6 15 29:61 33
15 Einheit Kamenz 30 6 4 20 34:51 22
16 SV Merseburg 99 30 2 6 22 29:90 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2018/2019 (Main)