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Barletta vs Acerrana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mateus Castro
23' Event
Lattanzio R.
67' Event
Mateus Castro

AI Match Summary

Barletta in this Serie D - Group H matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Barletta
6%
Draws
4%
Acerrana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barletta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Barletta have won more games recently than Acerrana.
  • Barletta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Barletta Clean Sheet 20%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barletta Acerrana
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 3
Draws 8 3
Losses 4 24
Goals Scored 2.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Acerrana
3:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Barletta
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Castro
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lattanzio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Acerrana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barletta 85 / 100
Acerrana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barletta Acerrana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Acerrana has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Away concern: Acerrana has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Barletta scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barletta VS Acerrana
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barletta

(Home)
30 May
Vado
2 : 0
Barletta
24 May
Barletta
2 : 1
Vado
17 May
Scafatese
1 : 1
Barletta
10 May
Barletta
2 : 1
A.C. Savoia
03 May
A.C.D. Nardo
1 : 0
Barletta
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Acerrana

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)