Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barletta vs Bari

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Comunale Cosimo Puttilli, Barletta
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Franco D.
33' Event
Mateus da Silva
Assist: Laringe F.
51'
Elia M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C game between Barletta and Bari finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Barletta
20%
Draws
56%
Bari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Barletta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Barletta a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Barletta Clean Sheet 17%
Bari Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barletta Bari
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.82 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Barletta vs Bari
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus da Silva
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bari Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barletta 36 / 100
Bari 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barletta Bari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barletta's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Bari let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Barletta remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barletta VS Bari
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barletta

(Home)
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
28 Aug
Barletta
3 : 0
Bari
22 Aug
Casertana
3 : 3
Barletta
14 Aug
Picerno
2 : 1
Barletta
Page 1 of 6

Bari

(Away)
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3
Bari
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Casarano
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1
Picerno
28 Aug
Barletta
3 : 0
Bari
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0
Cavese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Audace Cerignola 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Picerno 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
4 Bari 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
5 Potenza 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
6 Casertana 4 2 2 0 10:8 8
7 Monopoli 4 2 0 2 3:2 6
8 Casarano 4 2 0 2 8:9 6
9 Barletta 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
10 Salernitana 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
11 Scafatese 4 1 2 1 7:8 5
12 Cavese 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
13 A.C. Savoia 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
14 Foggia 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
15 Inter U23 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
16 Altamura 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
17 Catania 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
18 Giugliano 4 0 1 3 6:13 1
19 Cosenza 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
20 Crotone 4 0 2 2 3:5 -4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)