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Stadium Background

Barletta vs Citta di Fasano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Lattanzio R.
45' Event
De Mori E.
60' Event
Penza E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Barletta and Citta di Fasano finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Barletta
44%
Draws
20%
Citta di Fasano
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Barletta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Barletta Clean Sheet 16%
Citta di Fasano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barletta Citta di Fasano
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 21 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Citta di Fasano
3:2
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Barletta
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Citta di Fasano
2:3
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Barletta
1:1
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Citta di Fasano vs Barletta
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Malcore G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lattanzio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Citta di Fasano Compare

Top Goalscorer De Mori E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penza E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barletta 36 / 100
Citta di Fasano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barletta Citta di Fasano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Barletta scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Citta di Fasano has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Barletta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barletta VS Citta di Fasano
2 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barletta342010454:2070
2Martina Calcio34188847:3062
3Citta di Fasano34188851:3562
4Paganese341771036:3258
5A.C.D. Nardo341413740:2755
6Gravina341671150:4055
7Afragolese3413101145:4649
8Fidelis Andria341391235:2848
9Virtus Francavilla3412121045:4048
10Real Normanna3410131127:2643
11Francavilla3411101339:3843
12Manfredonia3411101334:3943
13Sarnese349141151:4941
14SS Nola 1925341181542:5041
15Heraclea341081631:3938
16Pompei34971826:3834
17Ferrandina34791821:4330
18Acerrana34352620:7414