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Barletta vs Manfredonia Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Malcore G.
51' Event
Bizzotto N.
59' Event
Malcore G.

AI Match Summary

Barletta in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Barletta
35%
Draws
47%
Manfredonia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Manfredonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Barletta have won more games recently than Manfredonia.
  • Win probability leans Manfredonia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Barletta Clean Sheet 17%
Manfredonia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barletta Manfredonia
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 9 9
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.30 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Manfredonia
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Barletta
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Manfredonia
0:0
Oct 29, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Manfredonia vs Barletta
0:0
Jan 24, 2010 Serie C2/C
Manfredonia vs Barletta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Malcore G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bizzotto N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.65

Manfredonia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.78

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barletta 15 / 100
Manfredonia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barletta Manfredonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manfredonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barletta found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Manfredonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Barletta stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Barletta VS Manfredonia
1.75 Goals Scored 1.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Barletta

(Home)
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4
Potenza
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
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Manfredonia

(Away)
27 Sept
Real Forio 2014
1 : 2
Manfredonia
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 1
Manfredonia
12 Sept
Manfredonia
2 : 2
Nocerina
06 Sept
San Felice Gladiator
2 : 1
Manfredonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)