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Barletta vs Vado Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Vita D.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Lattanzio R.
90' Event
Abonckelet M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Barletta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Barletta
35%
Draws
16%
Vado
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barletta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Barletta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Barletta's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Barletta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Barletta, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Barletta Clean Sheet 15%
Vado Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barletta Vado
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.69 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Vado vs Barletta
2:0
May 24, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Barletta vs Vado
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Lattanzio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vado Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barletta 41 / 100
Vado 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barletta Vado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barletta scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Vado conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Barletta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barletta VS Vado
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barletta

(Home)
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4
Potenza
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
05 Sept
Crotone
2 : 2
Barletta
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Vado

(Away)
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
20 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Pescara
16 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Vado
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
06 Sept
Reggiana
3 : 1
Vado
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vado 3
Barletta 2
Desenzano Calvina 1
Scafatese 2
Final
Vado 0
Scafatese 6