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Barnechea vs Concon National

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Municipal de Lo Barnechea, Santiago de Chile
Sun, May 4, 2025
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barnechea host Concon National in the Segunda Division 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Barnechea at 3 goals for, 1.5 against; Concon National at 1.63 for, 1.15 against. Past meetings favor Barnechea slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.61, favoring Barnechea. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Barnechea
22%
Draws
35%
Concon National
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Barnechea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

22% / Low Confidence
  • Concon National carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Barnechea taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Barnechea Clean Sheet 14%
Concon National Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnechea Concon National
Matches Played 4 27
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 3 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Barnechea
0:0
May 4, 2025 Segunda Division
Barnechea vs Concon National
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnechea 41 / 100
Concon National 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnechea Concon National

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnechea scored in 100% of their last 4 games.

Concon National has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Barnechea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Barnechea VS Concon National
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnechea

(Home)
19 Oct
Barnechea
6 : 0
Limache
11 Oct
U. De Concepcion
2 : 2
Barnechea
06 Oct
Barnechea
2 : 1
Deportes Temuco
29 Sept
Antofagasta
3 : 2
Barnechea

Concon National

(Away)
08 Aug
Osorno
1 : 0
Concon National
11 Jul
Concon National
4 : 2
Santiago City
05 Jul
Brujas Salamanca
1 : 0
Concon National
27 Jun
Concon National
1 : 1
Atletico Colina
07 Jun
Real San Joaquin
0 : 1
Concon National
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Puerto Montt 24 16 6 2 54:17 54
2 Linares Unido 24 13 6 5 39:27 45
3 Brujas Salamanca 24 11 6 7 33:27 39
4 Osorno 24 11 6 7 49:34 36
5 Provincial Ovalle 24 10 6 8 24:21 36
6 Concon National 24 10 3 11 44:36 33
7 General Velasquez 24 8 8 8 29:36 32
8 Trasandino 24 9 1 14 34:42 28
9 Real San Joaquin 24 6 4 14 22:43 22
10 Santiago City 24 5 5 14 35:58 20
11 Deportes Rengo 24 5 3 16 22:52 18
12 Melipilla 24 12 4 8 42:33 -14
13 San Antonio Unido 24 9 4 11 48:49 -27
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