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Barnet vs Gillingham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 The Hive Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barnet play Gillingham in the League Two 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Barnet averaged 3 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Gillingham averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, Barnet won 2, Gillingham won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for Barnet and 1.25 for Gillingham. This points to a Barnet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Barnet
6%
Draws
4%
Gillingham
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barnet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Barnet has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Gillingham.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Barnet.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League Two 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Barnet Clean Sheet 19%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnet Gillingham
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Barnet vs Gillingham
6:2
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs Barnet
1:1
Dec 26, 2012 League Two
Gillingham vs Barnet
0:1
Sep 8, 2012 League Two
Barnet vs Gillingham
1:3
Mar 6, 2012 League Two
Gillingham vs Barnet
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barnet Compare

Top Goalscorer Stead C.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Crichlow-Noble R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Booth S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrews J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnet 85 / 100
Gillingham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnet Gillingham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnet scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Gillingham let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Barnet went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Gillingham lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barnet VS Gillingham
3 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836