Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barnet vs Cambridge Utd

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 The Hive Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ndlovu L.
20' Event
Hawkins O.
Own Goal
31'
Osadebe E.

AI Match Summary

Barnet in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Barnet
39%
Draws
30%
Cambridge Utd
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cambridge Utd have won more games recently than Barnet.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Cambridge Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Barnet, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Barnet Clean Sheet 15%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnet Cambridge Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 League Two
Barnet vs Cambridge Utd
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 League Two
Cambridge Utd vs Barnet
0:0
Oct 21, 2025 EFL Trophy
Barnet vs Cambridge Utd
3:2
Jul 29, 2023 Club Friendly
Barnet vs Cambridge Utd
2:0
Dec 26, 2017 League Two
Cambridge Utd vs Barnet
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barnet Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndlovu L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assombalonga B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Cambridge Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Kachunga E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnet 31 / 100
Cambridge Utd 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnet Cambridge Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnet's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Barnet stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Cambridge Utd has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barnet VS Cambridge Utd
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnet

(Home)
28 Jul
Barnet
0 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
25 Jul
Barnet
1 : 2
Oxford Utd
18 Jul
Barnet
2 : 2
Luton
14 Jul
Barnet
2 : 2
Watford
11 Jul
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 2
Barnet
Page 1 of 6

Cambridge Utd

(Away)
28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0
Northampton
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1
Cambridge Utd
14 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
11 Jul
Cambridge City
1 : 3
Cambridge Utd
02 May
Crewe
0 : 0
Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)