Barnet in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
Barnet
39%
Draws
30%
Cambridge Utd
Draw rate projection: 39%Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
Cambridge Utd have won more games recently than Barnet.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Cambridge Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Barnet, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals85%
Over 1.5 Goals75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals25%
Over 3.5 Goals22%
Over 4.5 Goals10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)32.8%
Barnet Clean Sheet15%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Barnet
Cambridge Utd
Matches Played
29
29
Wins
15
16
Draws
8
9
Losses
6
4
Goals Scored
2.25
1.75
Goals Conceded
1.38
0.5
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.38
0.50
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026League Two
BarnetvsCambridge Utd
1:0
Nov 15, 2025League Two
Cambridge UtdvsBarnet
0:0
Oct 21, 2025EFL Trophy
BarnetvsCambridge Utd
3:2
Jul 29, 2023Club Friendly
BarnetvsCambridge Utd
2:0
Dec 26, 2017League Two
Cambridge UtdvsBarnet
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barnet Compare
Top GoalscorerNdlovu L.
1 Goals
Assists LeaderAssombalonga B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game1.73
Avg xA / game1.13
Cambridge Utd Compare
Top GoalscorerKachunga E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game1.59
Avg xA / game0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barnet31 / 100
Cambridge Utd41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barnet Cambridge Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickCAM Win (2)
Secondary PickUnder 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score0:1
BTTS OutcomeNo (NG)
Over/Under PickUnder 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barnet's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Barnet stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Cambridge Utd has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.