Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barnet vs Gillingham

England England

League Two 2025/2026 The Hive Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Stead C.
Assist: Glover R.
13' Event
Booth S.
Assist: Dack B.
15' Event
Stead C.
Assist: Tshimanga K.

AI Match Summary

The League Two 2025/2026 game between Barnet and Gillingham finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barnet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Barnet
35%
Draws
49%
Gillingham
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gillingham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barnet come out ahead of Gillingham on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gillingham's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Barnet Clean Sheet 18%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnet Gillingham
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 4
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Barnet vs Gillingham
6:2
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Gillingham vs Barnet
1:1
Dec 26, 2012 League Two
Gillingham vs Barnet
0:1
Sep 8, 2012 League Two
Barnet vs Gillingham
1:3
Mar 6, 2012 League Two
Gillingham vs Barnet
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barnet Compare

Top Goalscorer Stead C.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Crichlow-Noble R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Booth S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrews J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnet 28 / 100
Gillingham 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnet Gillingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnet found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Gillingham conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Barnet has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barnet VS Gillingham
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnet

(Home)
01 Aug
Barnet
1 : 1
Bromley
28 Jul
Barnet
0 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
25 Jul
Barnet
1 : 2
Oxford Utd
18 Jul
Barnet
2 : 2
Luton
14 Jul
Barnet
2 : 2
Watford
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Gillingham

(Away)
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1
Charlton
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
02 May
Gillingham
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley 46 24 15 7 71:46 87
2 Milton Keynes Dons 46 24 14 8 86:45 86
3 Cambridge Utd 46 22 16 8 66:33 82
4 Salford 46 25 6 15 61:51 81
5 Notts County 46 24 8 14 74:52 80
6 Chesterfield 46 21 16 9 71:56 79
7 Grimsby 46 22 12 12 74:50 78
8 Barnet 46 21 13 12 70:53 76
9 Swindon 46 22 9 15 70:59 75
10 Oldham 46 18 14 14 60:44 68
11 Crewe 46 19 10 17 64:58 67
12 Colchester 46 18 12 16 62:49 66
13 Walsall 46 18 11 17 56:56 65
14 Bristol Rovers 46 19 5 22 56:65 62
15 Fleetwood Town 46 15 16 15 57:58 61
16 Accrington 46 14 11 21 47:58 53
17 Gillingham 46 13 14 19 53:72 53
18 Cheltenham 46 14 10 22 53:79 52
19 Shrewsbury 46 13 10 23 42:69 49
20 Newport 46 12 7 27 48:77 43
21 Tranmere 46 10 11 25 54:79 41
22 Crawley Town 46 8 16 22 44:68 40
23 Harrogate 46 10 9 27 39:68 39
24 Barrow 46 9 9 28 45:78 36
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)