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Barnsley vs Aldershot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup Oakwell, Barnsley
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
McGeehan C.
Assist: Okedina J.
26' Event
Cleary R.
Assist: Adeyemo T.
30'
Gale S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 7-2. The second leg ended 7-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Barnsley
15%
Draws
36%
Aldershot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barnsley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Aldershot carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barnsley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Aldershot arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Barnsley, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 12%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnsley Aldershot
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.54 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2026 FA Cup
Barnsley vs Aldershot
7:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barnsley Compare

Top Goalscorer McGeehan C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Yoganathan V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Lewis A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnsley 83 / 100
Aldershot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnsley Aldershot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barnsley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnsley's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 9.00 goals when they meet.

Aldershot's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Away concern: Aldershot has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barnsley VS Aldershot
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnsley

(Home)
07 Nov
Barnsley
7 : 2
Aldershot
31 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 1
Oxford Utd
24 Oct
Reading
2 : 1
Barnsley
20 Oct
Luton
2 : 1
Barnsley
17 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 2
Cambridge Utd
Page 1 of 6

Aldershot

(Away)
07 Nov
Barnsley
7 : 2
Aldershot
03 Nov
Aldershot
0 : 5
Ipswich U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0
Gateshead
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Aldershot
0 : 1
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Port Vale 4
Scunthorpe 2
Leyton Orient 5
Harborough 1
Stafford 3
Grimsby 4
Oldham 2
Sheffield Wed 1
Dover Ath. 2
Wealdstone 0
Oxford City 2
Leicester 4
Boreham Wood 0
Wigan 3
Barnsley 7
Aldershot 2
Harrogate 1
AFC Fylde 4
Luton 2
Forest Green 0
Eastleigh 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Fleetwood Town 1
Rochdale 2
Newport 3
Walsall 1
Cheltenham 2
Halifax 0
Chesterfield 4
Yeovil 3
Plymouth Parkway 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Barnet 3
Tranmere 0
Wimborne 2
Crawley Town 0
Bradford City 7
Marine 0
Salisbury 6
Sholing 0
Hornchurch 1
Blackpool 2
Gillingham 0
Barrow 1
Kidderminster 3
Doncaster 0
Bromley 0
Rotherham 2
Bristol Rovers 2
Cambridge Utd 0
Crewe 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Plymouth 4
Alvechurch 0
Peterborough 0
Reading 5
Cray Wanderers 2
Stockport County 3
Accrington 0
Wycombe 2
Milton Keynes Dons 2
Swindon 1
Colchester 1
Worcester 0
Mansfield 3
Macclesfield 0
Guiseley 1
Sutton 0
Altrincham 2
Notts County 3
York City 4
Northampton 0
Carlisle 1
Salford 0
Huddersfield 1
Exeter 2
Oxford Utd 0
Stevenage 1
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Semi-finals
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Final
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