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Barnsley vs Bradford City

England England

League One 2025/2026 Oakwell, Barnsley
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Yoganathan V.
33'
Swan W.
46'
Sub
Earl J. In: de Gevigney M.
Out: Earl J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Barnsley
20%
Draws
40%
Bradford City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Barnsley haven't matched Bradford City's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 13%
Bradford City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnsley Bradford City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Bradford City
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Bradford City vs Barnsley
2:2
Nov 21, 2023 EFL Trophy
Bradford City vs Barnsley
5:1
Jan 12, 2019 League One
Barnsley vs Bradford City
3:0
Nov 13, 2018 EFL Trophy
Barnsley vs Bradford City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barnsley Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Connell E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farrell L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bradford City Compare

Top Goalscorer Powell N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnsley 35 / 100
Bradford City 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnsley Bradford City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Barnsley scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Bradford City conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Barnsley stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barnsley VS Bradford City
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnsley

(Home)
08 Aug
Barnsley
2 : 1
Wigan
02 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 1
Barnsley
01 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 0
Lincoln City
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2
Barnsley
18 Jul
Blackburn
3 : 0
Barnsley
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Bradford City

(Away)
08 Aug
Bradford City
2 : 0
Rochdale
01 Aug
Salford
2 : 2
Bradford City
29 Jul
Bradford City
3 : 2
Preston
24 Jul
Gmunden
0 : 4
Bradford City
17 Jul
Accrington
1 : 0
Bradford City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 46 31 10 5 89:41 103
2 Cardiff 46 27 10 9 90:50 91
3 Stockport County 46 22 11 13 71:58 77
4 Bradford City 46 22 11 13 58:51 77
5 Bolton 46 19 18 9 70:52 75
6 Stevenage 46 21 12 13 49:46 75
7 Luton 46 21 11 14 68:56 74
8 Plymouth 46 22 7 17 75:63 73
9 Huddersfield 46 18 13 15 74:64 67
10 Mansfield 46 16 17 13 62:50 65
11 Wycombe 46 17 12 17 69:58 63
12 Reading 46 16 15 15 64:60 63
13 Blackpool 46 17 9 20 54:65 60
14 Doncaster 46 17 9 20 50:69 60
15 Barnsley 46 15 14 17 68:73 59
16 Wigan 46 14 14 18 49:58 56
17 Burton 46 13 15 18 50:60 54
18 Peterborough 46 15 8 23 64:68 53
19 AFC Wimbledon 46 15 8 23 51:72 53
20 Leyton Orient 46 14 10 22 59:71 52
21 Exeter 46 12 13 21 52:61 49
22 Port Vale 46 10 12 24 36:61 42
23 Rotherham 46 10 11 25 41:71 41
24 Northampton 46 9 8 29 39:74 35
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)