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Barnsley vs Plymouth

England England

League One 2025/2026 Oakwell, Barnsley
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Ross M.
16' Event
Oseni O.
Assist: Tolaj L.
46'
Sub
Bradshaw T. In: Phillips A.
Out: Bradshaw T.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Barnsley and Plymouth finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plymouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Barnsley
17%
Draws
70%
Plymouth
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plymouth come out ahead of Barnsley on wins alone.
  • Model gives Plymouth a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 11%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnsley Plymouth
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 19
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Plymouth
0:3
Aug 2, 2025 League One
Plymouth vs Barnsley
1:3
Mar 11, 2023 League One
Barnsley vs Plymouth
3:0
Jul 30, 2022 League One
Plymouth vs Barnsley
1:0
Apr 22, 2019 League One
Plymouth vs Barnsley
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barnsley Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Plymouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Oseni O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tolaj L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnsley 14 / 100
Plymouth 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnsley Plymouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnsley found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Plymouth let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Barnsley has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barnsley VS Plymouth
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnsley

(Home)
25 Jul
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 2
Barnsley
18 Jul
Blackburn
3 : 0
Barnsley
11 Jul
York City
2 : 1
Barnsley
04 Jul
Matlock
0 : 2
Barnsley
02 May
Barnsley
1 : 3
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

Plymouth

(Away)
25 Jul
Truro
0 : 1
Plymouth
21 Jul
Torquay
0 : 1
Plymouth
18 Jul
Bath City
0 : 3
Plymouth
11 Jul
Plymouth Parkway
1 : 4
Plymouth
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)