Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Piergianni C.
17'
17'
McGeehan C.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Sub
Taylor T. In: Thompson L.
Out: Taylor T.
AI Match Summary
Stevenage in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stevenage.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Barnsley haven't matched Stevenage's recent run of results.
- Model gives Barnsley a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Stevenage have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 12%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barnsley | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Stevenage
1:5
Apr 21, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Barnsley
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Stevenage
3:1
Jan 25, 2025 League One
Barnsley vs Stevenage
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 League One
Stevenage vs Barnsley
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barnsley Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Kemp D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sanderson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barnsley 40 / 100
Stevenage 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barnsley Stevenage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Barnsley scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Stevenage's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Barnsley went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barnsley VS Stevenage
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barnsley
(Home) 22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4 Leeds U21
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1 Leicester
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3 Barnsley
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0 Barnsley
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4 Leeds U21
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1 Leicester
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
02 Sept
Barnsley
2 : 1 Blackpool
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2 Crewe
Page 1 of 3
Stevenage
(Away) 22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
10 Sept
Stevenage
2 : 1 Luton
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0 Stevenage
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5 Stevenage
01 Sept
Peterborough
0 : 0 Stevenage
15 Aug
Burton
1 : 1 Stevenage
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Plymouth | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Huddersfield | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cambridge Utd | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Oxford Utd | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Reading | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stockport County | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 12 | Burton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Wycombe | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8:10 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:12 | 4 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
