Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Piergianni C.
17'
17'
McGeehan C.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Sub
Taylor T. In: Thompson L.
Out: Taylor T.
AI Match Summary
Stevenage in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stevenage.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stevenage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Barnsley haven't matched Stevenage's recent run of results.
- Model gives Barnsley a 33% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Stevenage have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%
Stevenage Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barnsley | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Stevenage
1:5
Apr 21, 2026 League One
Stevenage vs Barnsley
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Stevenage
3:1
Jan 25, 2025 League One
Barnsley vs Stevenage
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 League One
Stevenage vs Barnsley
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barnsley Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Stevenage Compare
Top Goalscorer Kemp D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Sanderson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barnsley 38 / 100
Stevenage 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barnsley Stevenage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barnsley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Barnsley scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Stevenage let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Barnsley went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barnsley VS Stevenage
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barnsley
(Home) 11 Nov
Barnsley
5 : 2 Oldham
07 Nov
Barnsley
7 : 2 Aldershot
31 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 1 Oxford Utd
24 Oct
Reading
2 : 1 Barnsley
20 Oct
Luton
2 : 1 Barnsley
Page 1 of 6
11 Nov
Barnsley
5 : 2 Oldham
07 Nov
Barnsley
7 : 2 Aldershot
31 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 1 Oxford Utd
17 Oct
Barnsley
1 : 2 Cambridge Utd
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4 Leeds U21
Page 1 of 3
Stevenage
(Away) 10 Nov
Stevenage
3 : 2 Fulham U21
07 Nov
Oxford Utd
0 : 1 Stevenage
31 Oct
Leicester
2 : 2 Stevenage
24 Oct
Stevenage
0 : 1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 Oct
Stevenage
3 : 0 Plymouth
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Oxford Utd
0 : 1 Stevenage
31 Oct
Leicester
2 : 2 Stevenage
17 Oct
Bradford City
2 : 0 Stevenage
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 Stevenage
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:11 | 26 |
| 4 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Reading | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford City | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 | Sheffield Wed | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 | Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 | Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
