Sport Picks
Baroka vs Upington City Prediction & H2H Stats
South Africa
Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane 
AI Match Summary
The Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 game between Baroka and Upington City finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Upington City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Upington City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Upington City are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Motsepe Foundation Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Baroka Clean Sheet 19%
Upington City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baroka | Upington City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Baroka vs Upington City
0:0
Oct 28, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Baroka
3:0
Apr 23, 2025 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Baroka vs Upington City
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Baroka
4:1
Apr 30, 2024 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Upington City vs Baroka
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baroka 12 / 100
Upington City 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baroka Upington City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Upington City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Upington City conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Baroka found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Baroka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Baroka VS Upington City
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Baroka
(Home) 17 May
Baroka
0 : 0 Upington City
10 May
Cape Town City
1 : 0 Baroka
01 May
Real Native
2 : 0 Baroka
26 Apr
Baroka
0 : 3 Kruger United
22 Apr
Baroka
1 : 1 Gomora United
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17 May
Baroka
0 : 0 Upington City
26 Apr
Baroka
0 : 3 Kruger United
22 Apr
Baroka
1 : 1 Gomora United
11 Apr
Baroka
1 : 2 Leicesterford City
14 Mar
Baroka
0 : 1 Hungry Lions
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Upington City
(Away) 19 Sept
Upington City
3 : 3 Pretoria U.
12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3 Upington City
05 Sept
Upington City
0 : 1 Highbury
29 Aug
Upington City
2 : 1 Real Native
22 Aug
NWU FC
1 : 1 Upington City
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12 Sept
Venda
2 : 3 Upington City
22 Aug
NWU FC
1 : 1 Upington City
17 May
Baroka
0 : 0 Upington City
02 May
Hungry Lions
0 : 0 Upington City
21 Apr
Midlands Wanderers
2 : 1 Upington City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kruger United | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 50:34 | 62 |
| 2 | Cape Town City | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 45:23 | 54 |
| 3 | Milford | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 40:24 | 54 |
| 4 | Real Native | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 46:27 | 52 |
| 5 | Hungry Lions | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 41:25 | 52 |
| 6 | Highbury | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Upington City | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 35:33 | 39 |
| 8 | Lerumo Lions | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:36 | 39 |
| 9 | Venda | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24:29 | 36 |
| 10 | The Bees | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 37:36 | 35 |
| 11 | Pretoria U. | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37:41 | 35 |
| 12 | Leicesterford City | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | 34 |
| 13 | Gomora United | 30 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 28:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Midlands Wanderers | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 28:44 | 33 |
| 15 | Black Leopards | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 26:38 | 28 |
| 16 | Baroka | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 20:43 | 20 |
Promotion - Betway Premiership (Main)
Promotion - Betway Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
