Sport Picks

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Baronie vs FC OSS '20

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Sow I.

AI Match Summary

FC OSS '20 in this Derde Divisie 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC OSS '20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Baronie
11%
Draws
9%
FC OSS '20
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Baronie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC OSS '20 have won more games recently than Baronie.
  • Win probability leans Baronie's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FC OSS '20 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Baronie Clean Sheet 10%
FC OSS '20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baronie FC OSS '20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 1 5
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.25 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Derde Divisie
FC OSS '20 vs Baronie
3:4
Dec 10, 2023 Derde Divisie
Baronie vs FC OSS '20
0:1
Jan 22, 2023 Derde Divisie
FC OSS '20 vs Baronie
1:0
Aug 28, 2022 Derde Divisie
Baronie vs FC OSS '20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baronie Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC OSS '20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baronie 74 / 100
FC OSS '20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baronie FC OSS '20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC OSS '20 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Baronie has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC OSS '20's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Baronie VS FC OSS '20
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
3.25 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baronie

(Home)
03 Jul
Baronie
0 : 5
NAC Breda
25 May
Baronie
2 : 1
HSV Hoek
18 May
FC OSS '20
3 : 4
Baronie
12 May
Baronie
3 : 4
Gemert
04 May
OJC Rosmalen
4 : 4
Baronie
Page 1 of 6

FC OSS '20

(Away)
25 May
GVV Unitas
1 : 3
FC OSS '20
18 May
FC OSS '20
3 : 4
Baronie
11 May
HSV Hoek
2 : 0
FC OSS '20
05 May
Gemert
5 : 1
FC OSS '20
21 Apr
FC OSS '20
1 : 5
OJC Rosmalen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RKAV Volendam342131092:5366
2IJsselmeervogels34196972:4363
3Genemuiden341611768:4059
4USV Hercules341761163:4357
5Sparta Nijkerk341821481:6656
6Harkemase Boys341412862:4754
7VV DOVO3414101062:4552
8HSC '213414101060:5352
9DVS '33 Ermelo341461461:4248
10Rijnvogels341461460:6248
11Eemdijk341391257:6248
12VVSB341451562:6747
13DEM341451549:5447
14Urk341291356:7345
15Staphorst341351656:6444
16VV Hoogeveen341032145:8733
17Kampong34672144:7025
18ODIN '5934352629:10814
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barendrecht34225776:3771
2SteDoCo34209570:3269
3Blauw Geel34207767:3567
4TEC341710767:3361
5Sportlust34187956:3661
6Gemert341771064:6258
7Meerssen341681071:5256
8TOGB341621647:4350
9HSV Hoek341381373:5347
10UNA341381350:4647
11HV & CV Quick341521762:6447
12VV Kloetinge341381345:4847
13OJC Rosmalen348121455:7036
14FC OSS '20341061847:7036
15AWC34871928:6630
16GVV Unitas34852140:6429
17Groene Ster34752229:7926
18Baronie34622634:9120
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2023/2024 (Relegation)