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Barquisimeto vs Atletico Barinas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Jimenez L.
12' Event
Flores A.
57' Event
Rojas E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Barquisimeto and Atletico Barinas finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barquisimeto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Barquisimeto
20%
Draws
29%
Atletico Barinas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barquisimeto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Barinas's 1.73 goals per match outpaces what Barquisimeto have produced (1.57).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Barquisimeto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Barquisimeto here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 14%
Atletico Barinas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barquisimeto Atletico Barinas
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto
1:2
Aug 15, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico Barinas
5:1
May 16, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico Barinas vs Barquisimeto
2:1
Mar 21, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico Barinas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barquisimeto Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flores A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atletico Barinas Compare

Top Goalscorer Estrada F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barquisimeto 41 / 100
Atletico Barinas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barquisimeto Atletico Barinas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Barinas has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Barquisimeto scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Barquisimeto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barquisimeto VS Atletico Barinas
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barquisimeto

(Home)
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4
Aragua
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
16 Sept
Zamora 2
0 : 2
Barquisimeto
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Barinas

(Away)
07 Oct
Zamora
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
04 Oct
Urena
0 : 0
Atletico Barinas
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Zamora 2
2 : 1
Atletico Barinas
20 Sept
Atletico Barinas
3 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lara 29 19 6 4 51:22 63
2 Barquisimeto 30 15 8 7 54:35 53
3 Yaracuyanos 30 14 7 9 44:30 49
4 Urena 29 12 10 7 41:34 46
5 Zamora 2 29 11 7 11 46:44 40
6 Atletico El Vigia 30 11 7 12 40:50 40
7 Academia Puerto Cabello B 30 9 7 14 38:44 34
8 Atletico Barinas 30 9 5 16 50:61 32
9 Real Frontera 29 3 3 23 22:66 12
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas B 25 14 6 5 41:26 48
2 Deportivo Miranda 24 12 5 7 32:21 41
3 Bolivar 25 12 4 9 31:29 40
4 Aragua 24 10 9 5 26:17 39
5 Dynamo Puerto FC 24 8 8 8 27:26 32
6 Mineros 25 5 9 11 29:33 24
7 Maritimo de Venezuela 20 5 5 10 16:31 20
8 Avila 25 2 10 13 13:32 16
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)