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Barquisimeto vs Caracas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Venezuela Venezuela

Copa Venezuela
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Quintero J.
33' Event
Martinez Aponte C. A.
49' Event
Lopez A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. The second leg ended 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Barquisimeto
15%
Draws
37%
Caracas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barquisimeto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Caracas haven't matched Barquisimeto's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Caracas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Barquisimeto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Caracas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 16%
Caracas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barquisimeto Caracas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Barquisimeto vs Caracas
0:5
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Venezuela
Caracas vs Barquisimeto
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barquisimeto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Quintero J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez Aponte C. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barquisimeto 10 / 100
Caracas 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barquisimeto Caracas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caracas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Barquisimeto's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Caracas conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Barquisimeto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barquisimeto VS Caracas
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barquisimeto

(Home)
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4
Aragua
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4
Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2
Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0
Urena
16 Sept
Zamora 2
0 : 2
Barquisimeto
Page 1 of 6

Caracas

(Away)
07 Oct
Caracas
1 : 0
Yaracuyanos
20 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 1
Caracas
16 Sept
Metropolitanos
3 : 0
Caracas
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Barquisimeto
0 : 5
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academia Anzoategui 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Avila 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
3 Deportivo Miranda 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
4 Maritimo de Venezuela 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamora 5 3 1 1 14:4 10
2 Atletico Barinas 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
3 Atletico El Vigia 5 2 1 2 10:13 7
4 Real Frontera 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caracas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Aragua 5 2 1 2 11:7 7
3 Yaracuyanos 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
4 Barquisimeto 5 1 0 4 3:16 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Zuliano 5 3 2 0 9:3 11
2 Urena 5 1 3 1 5:7 6
3 Trujillanos 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
4 Lara 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monagas 5 4 0 1 13:3 12
2 Mineros 5 3 1 1 13:2 10
3 Bolivar 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
4 Dynamo Puerto FC 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
Promotion - Copa Venezuela (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams