Sport Picks
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Nacao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
Match Events
7'
7'
Betinho
41'
41'
Bicca M.
52'
52'
Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-3. This leg finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
35%
16%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have won more games recently than Nacao.
- Model gives Barra FC (Santa Catarina) a 49% chance of winning this.
- Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 17%
Nacao Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | Nacao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Copa Santa Catarina
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Nacao
3:3
Oct 14, 2024 Copa Santa Catarina
Nacao vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:4
Jan 25, 2024 Catarinense
Nacao vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
0:4
Sep 2, 2023 Copa Santa Catarina
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Nacao
1:1
Sep 12, 2021 Catarinense 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Nacao
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare
Top Goalscorer Betinho
1 Goals Assists Leader Vargas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Nacao Compare
Top Goalscorer Bicca M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vinicius de Souza Nogueira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 66 / 100
Nacao 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Nacao
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.
Nacao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS Nacao
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
(Home) 26 Sept
Joinville
2 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3 Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2 Blumenau
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1 Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 7
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3 Nacao
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2 Blumenau
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0 Itabaiana
12 Jul
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 2 Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 3
Nacao
(Away) 09 Oct
Nacao
0 : 0 Marcilio Dias
26 Sept
Hercilio Luz
2 : 1 Nacao
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3 Nacao
19 Sept
Nacao
0 : 4 Joinville
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0 Nacao
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Hercilio Luz
2 : 1 Nacao
23 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
3 : 3 Nacao
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0 Nacao
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2 Nacao
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2 Nacao
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Figueirense | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 13 |
| 2 | Joinville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Hercilio Luz | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Nacao | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | 3 |
| 9 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Santa Catarina (Play Offs)
