Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Cruz

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Matheus Vinicius
37' Event
Quirino
46'
Sub
Natan Costa In: Betinho
Out: Natan Costa

AI Match Summary

Santa Cruz in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
28%
Draws
50%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barra FC (Santa Catarina) lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 21%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Santa Cruz
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 11 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie C
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Cruz
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Serie D
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Santa Cruz
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie D
Santa Cruz vs Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Renan Bernabe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Vinicius
1 Goals
Assists Leader Quirino
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 24 / 100
Santa Cruz 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Barra FC (Santa Catarina) remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS Santa Cruz
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189