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Barra FC U20 vs Joinville U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

Barra FC U20 play Joinville U20 in the Catarinense U20 2025. Barra FC U20 are favorites here. Recently, Barra FC U20 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Joinville U20 averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Barra FC U20 won 5, Joinville U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 27, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Barra FC U20 and 0.69 for Joinville U20. This points to a Barra FC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Barra FC U20
16%
Draws
27%
Joinville U20
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Barra FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Barra FC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Joinville U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Barra FC U20 Clean Sheet 28%
Joinville U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC U20 Joinville U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:2
Aug 2, 2025 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Barra FC U20
1:2
May 28, 2025 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Joinville U20
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Catarinense U20
Joinville U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:1
May 11, 2024 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Joinville U20
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moises Firmino Anastacio F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Joinville U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Murilo Leite
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC U20 57 / 100
Joinville U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC U20 Joinville U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra FC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Barra FC U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Barra FC U20 attacking → ← attacking Joinville U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Joinville U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Barra FC U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Joinville U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 28
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.25
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chapecoense-SC U2018124241:1540
2Barra FC U2018116138:1539
3Criciuma U2018115228:938
4Figueirense U201893638:3130
5Joinville U201891831:2928
6Avai U201866632:2724
7Marcilio Dias U2018351020:3614
8Concordia U201827919:3613
9Nacao U2018331214:4012
10Brusque U2018241217:4010