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Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20 2025
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AI Match Summary

Barra FC U20 play Nacao U20 in the Catarinense U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Barra FC U20 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Nacao U20 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Barra FC U20 won 4, Nacao U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 1, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Barra FC U20 and 1.44 for Nacao U20. This points to a Barra FC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Barra FC U20
23%
Draws
23%
Nacao U20
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Barra FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Barra FC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Nacao U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Barra FC U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC U20 Nacao U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20
2:0
May 24, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:0
May 25, 2024 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20
3:0
Mar 27, 2024 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Acassio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Costa G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Nacao U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC U20 52 / 100
Nacao U20 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC U20 Nacao U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra FC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Barra FC U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Barra FC U20 attacking → ← attacking Nacao U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC U20 scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Nacao U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Barra FC U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Nacao U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 27
2.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Chapecoense-SC U2018124241:1540
2Barra FC U2018116138:1539
3Criciuma U2018115228:938
4Figueirense U201893638:3130
5Joinville U201891831:2928
6Avai U201866632:2724
7Marcilio Dias U2018351020:3614
8Concordia U201827919:3613
9Nacao U2018331214:4012
10Brusque U2018241217:4010