Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barra Mansa vs Cardoso Moreira

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
65' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Barra Mansa
40%
Draws
29%
Cardoso Moreira
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Barra Mansa haven't matched Cardoso Moreira's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 20%
Cardoso Moreira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa Cardoso Moreira
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Carioca C
Barra Mansa vs Cardoso Moreira
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 32 / 100
Cardoso Moreira 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa Cardoso Moreira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Cardoso Moreira has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Barra Mansa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Barra Mansa found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS Cardoso Moreira
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra Mansa

(Home)
23 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 2
Buzios
19 Jul
Buzios
3 : 0
Barra Mansa
12 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Uni Souza
07 Jul
Uni Souza
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
03 Jul
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
Page 1 of 6

Cardoso Moreira

(Away)
23 Jul
Campos AA
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
19 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
4 : 1
Campos AA
12 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
0 : 0
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
06 Jul
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 1
Cardoso Moreira
03 Jul
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardoso Moreira871015:222
2Tigres Brasil852115:617
3Campos AA852115:717
4Grande Rio Brescia Clube73138:610
5Mageense62136:137
6Barcelona EC82065:216
7Itaborai Profute61329:96
8EC Vera Cruz81079:213
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra Mansa74129:513
2Rio Barra841313:1013
3Buzios733115:612
4Uni Souza831415:1110
5Uniao Central831411:1510
6Ceres630310:119
7Caac Brazil82158:167
8Independente RJ71244:85
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)