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Barra SE vs America de Pedrinhas

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barra SE play America de Pedrinhas in the Sergipano 2 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Barra SE averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. America de Pedrinhas averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, Barra SE won 1, America de Pedrinhas won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 3, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Barra SE and 1.63 for America de Pedrinhas. This points to a Barra SE double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Barra SE
22%
Draws
37%
America de Pedrinhas
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Barra SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Barra SE picked up more points recently compared to America de Pedrinhas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 14%
America de Pedrinhas Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra SE America de Pedrinhas
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2024 Sergipano 2
America de Pedrinhas vs Barra SE
0:1
Oct 30, 2024 Sergipano 2
Barra SE vs America de Pedrinhas
1:1
Oct 23, 2024 Sergipano 2
Barra SE vs America de Pedrinhas
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra SE 40 / 100
America de Pedrinhas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra SE America de Pedrinhas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Barra SE or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Barra SE attacking → ← attacking America de Pedrinhas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra SE scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

America de Pedrinhas let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Barra SE went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

America de Pedrinhas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 43
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guarany SE541014:213
2America de Pedrinhas541013:413
3Desportiva Aracaju540116:512
4Frei Paulistano52218:68
5Flamengo SE50143:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barra SE52217:68
2Atletico Central51135:74
3Independente SE51136:94
4Boca Junior51137:124
5Caninde51048:203