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Barra SE vs Cotinguiba

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Barra SE and Cotinguiba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barra SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Barra SE
15%
Draws
12%
Cotinguiba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barra SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

12% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barra SE come out ahead of Cotinguiba on wins alone.
  • Cotinguiba are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 20%
Cotinguiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra SE Cotinguiba
Matches Played 26 8
Wins 11 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 Sergipano 2
Barra SE vs Cotinguiba
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 Sergipano 2
Cotinguiba vs Barra SE
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra SE 16 / 100
Cotinguiba 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra SE Cotinguiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cotinguiba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra SE's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Cotinguiba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 8 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Cotinguiba has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barra SE VS Cotinguiba
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra SE

(Home)
01 Mar
Itabaiana
4 : 2
Barra SE
22 Feb
Barra SE
0 : 2
Dorense
15 Feb
Confianca
8 : 1
Barra SE
09 Feb
Barra SE
1 : 0
America de Propria
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
Page 1 of 6

Cotinguiba

(Away)
09 Oct
Barra SE
2 : 0
Cotinguiba
03 Oct
Cotinguiba
2 : 3
Santa Cruz SE
25 Sept
Socorrense
0 : 0
Cotinguiba
21 Sept
Cotinguiba
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
14 Sept
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 1
Cotinguiba
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SE 8 7 0 1 13:1 21
2 Atletico Central 8 6 0 2 17:7 18
3 Aracaju FC 8 5 0 3 14:10 15
4 CS Maruinense 8 1 1 6 5:13 4
5 Socorro 8 0 1 7 1:19 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportiva Aracaju 8 7 1 0 16:4 22
2 Barra SE 8 6 1 1 19:4 19
3 Santa Cruz SE 8 3 0 5 12:15 9
4 Cotinguiba 8 1 1 6 7:14 4
5 Socorrense 8 1 1 6 1:18 4
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America de Pedrinhas 8 6 0 2 20:9 18
2 Independente SE 8 3 4 1 12:11 13
3 Riachao 8 3 3 2 11:7 12
4 Amadense 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
5 AD Boquinhense 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Frei Paulistano 8 6 1 1 21:3 19
2 Boca Junior 8 5 1 2 14:8 16
3 Estanciano EC 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
4 Sete de Junho 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
5 Botafogo ASF 8 1 2 5 3:17 5
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 8 6 1 1 23:6 19
2 Caninde 8 5 1 2 14:10 16
3 Forca Jovem Aquidaba 8 4 0 4 16:10 12
4 Propria 8 2 3 3 11:14 9
5 Coritiba SE 8 0 1 7 6:30 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)