Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barranquilla vs Leones

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Bolivar M.
25'
Penate C.
36'
Hincapie Ossa J. F.

AI Match Summary

Barranquilla in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barranquilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Barranquilla
35%
Draws
39%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barranquilla lately — more wins on the board than Leones.
  • Barranquilla are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 20%
Leones Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barranquilla Leones
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.42 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Leones
3:0
Aug 4, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Barranquilla
2:2
Feb 24, 2025 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Leones
2:3
Oct 10, 2024 Primera B
Leones vs Barranquilla
1:2
Feb 16, 2024 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Leones
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barranquilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolivar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agamez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Leones Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barranquilla 36 / 100
Leones 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barranquilla Leones

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Barranquilla scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Leones's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 27 matches.

Barranquilla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barranquilla VS Leones
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barranquilla

(Home)
20 Aug
Real Santander
2 : 2
Barranquilla
02 Aug
Barranquilla
2 : 2
Atletico F.C.
29 Jul
Barranquilla
4 : 3
Junior
26 Jul
Orsomarso
1 : 0
Barranquilla
23 Jul
Junior
2 : 2
Barranquilla
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Leones

(Away)
20 Aug
Leones
1 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
06 Aug
Bogota
0 : 1
Leones
03 Aug
Leones
1 : 1
Quindio
24 Jul
Tigres Futbol Club
0 : 1
Leones
29 May
Leones
1 : 1
Ind. Medellin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Palmira 15 12 2 1 29:13 38
2 Union Magdalena 15 10 2 3 27:15 32
3 Quindio 15 9 4 2 20:10 31
4 Envigado 15 9 2 4 24:14 29
5 Cartagena 15 7 5 3 23:15 26
6 Bogota 15 6 5 4 16:14 23
7 Barranquilla 15 6 2 7 21:20 20
8 Tigres Futbol Club 15 5 5 5 15:14 20
9 Independiente Valle del Cauca 15 4 7 4 13:14 19
10 Orsomarso 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
11 Patriotas 15 4 5 6 13:17 17
12 Boca Juniors de Cali 15 2 7 6 15:20 13
13 Real Cundinamarca 15 2 7 6 14:19 13
14 Leones 15 2 4 9 8:24 10
15 Atletico F.C. 15 1 6 8 12:23 9
16 Real Santander 15 1 4 10 9:23 7
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Quadrangular)