Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Agamez M.
12'
Mercado J.
22'
Sub
Oviedo P. In: Cassiani O.
Out: Oviedo P.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Barranquilla and Union Magdalena finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Barranquilla
15%
Draws
42%
Union Magdalena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barranquilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Magdalena come out ahead of Barranquilla on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 21%
Union Magdalena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barranquilla Union Magdalena
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.32 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla
1:2
May 17, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena
1:1
May 4, 2026 Primera B
Union Magdalena vs Barranquilla
2:0
Mar 4, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena
1:3
Aug 12, 2024 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Union Magdalena
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barranquilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolivar M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Union Magdalena Compare

Top Goalscorer Cervantes M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barranquilla 37 / 100
Union Magdalena 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barranquilla Union Magdalena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Magdalena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barranquilla scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Union Magdalena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Difficult form: Union Magdalena registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barranquilla VS Union Magdalena
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barranquilla

(Home)
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2
Barranquilla
01 Sept
Barranquilla
2 : 1
Boca Juniors de Cali
Page 1 of 6

Union Magdalena

(Away)
18 Sept
Patriotas
1 : 2
Union Magdalena
12 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
2 : 1
Union Magdalena
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2
Barranquilla
01 Sept
Envigado
0 : 1
Union Magdalena
29 Aug
Union Magdalena
0 : 2
Quindio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Envigado 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
2 Quindio 6 3 1 2 4:3 10
3 Inter Palmira 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
4 Tigres Futbol Club 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagena 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Union Magdalena 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
3 Barranquilla 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
4 Bogota 6 0 3 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs)