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Barreda Balompie vs Bezana

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ortiz D.
8' Event
Rubio B.
Own Goal
28' Event
Revilla A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Barreda Balompie and Bezana finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barreda Balompie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barreda Balompie
20%
Draws
57%
Bezana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bezana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bezana a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 21%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barreda Balompie Bezana
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 8 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.58 1.51
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Bezana
4:2
Sep 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Barreda Balompie
1:1
Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Barreda Balompie
1:1
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Bezana
1:1
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Barreda Balompie
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barreda Balompie Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortiz D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Revilla A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Caballero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barreda Balompie 24 / 100
Bezana 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barreda Balompie Bezana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreda Balompie found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Bezana has conceded goals in 59% of their last 37 outings.

Barreda Balompie has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bezana
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barreda Balompie

(Home)
10 May
Castro
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
26 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 1
Barreda Balompie
17 Apr
Barreda Balompie
0 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Apr
Vimenor
5 : 4
Barreda Balompie
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Bezana

(Away)
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)