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Barretos EC vs Audax-SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A3 2023 game between Barretos EC and Audax-SP finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barretos EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Barretos EC
30%
Draws
31%
Audax-SP
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barretos EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Audax-SP carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Audax-SP are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 20%
Audax-SP Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barretos EC Audax-SP
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.73 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Paulista A4
Audax-SP vs Barretos EC
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Audax-SP
0:3
Feb 18, 2023 Paulista A3
Barretos EC vs Audax-SP
3:0
Apr 27, 2019 Paulista A3
Barretos EC vs Audax-SP
0:2
Apr 21, 2019 Paulista A3
Audax-SP vs Barretos EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barretos EC 28 / 100
Audax-SP 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barretos EC Audax-SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Audax-SP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audax-SP let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Barretos EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Audax-SP lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barretos EC VS Audax-SP
0.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barretos EC

(Home)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
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Audax-SP

(Away)
04 Jul
Flamengo SP
2 : 1
Audax-SP
28 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 0
Flamengo SP
20 Jun
Audax-SP
0 : 1
Flamengo SP
14 Jun
Paulinense
1 : 0
Audax-SP
07 Jun
Audax-SP
2 : 0
Votoraty SP
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)