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Barretos EC vs Sao-Carlense Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Honorio L.
33' Event
Victhor

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Barretos EC
35%
Draws
35%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao-Carlense come out ahead of Barretos EC on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Sao-Carlense taking it.
  • Sao-Carlense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 23%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barretos EC Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 12 12
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.73 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Barretos EC
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Sao-Carlense
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Barretos EC
0:1
Feb 12, 2025 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Sao-Carlense
2:2
Feb 28, 2024 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Barretos EC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barretos EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Honorio L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sao-Carlense Compare

Top Goalscorer Victhor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barretos EC 24 / 100
Sao-Carlense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barretos EC Sao-Carlense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao-Carlense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao-Carlense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Barretos EC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Barretos EC scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barretos EC VS Sao-Carlense
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barretos EC

(Home)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
Page 1 of 6

Sao-Carlense

(Away)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Lemense 0
Sao-Carlense 2
Barretos EC 1
Sao Caetano 1
Jacarei FC 0
Penapolense 3
Taquaritinga 3
Semi-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Sao-Carlense 2
Sao Caetano 3
Penapolense 4
Final
Inter de Bebedouro 2
Penapolense 3