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Barrow vs Aldershot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Holker Street, Barrow in Furness
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Allen A.
32'
Adom-Malaki N.
45'
Efete M.

AI Match Summary

Barrow in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Barrow
20%
Draws
17%
Aldershot
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barrow lately — more wins on the board than Aldershot.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Barrow have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Barrow Clean Sheet 20%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barrow Aldershot
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.62 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National League
Barrow vs Aldershot
1:0
Dec 7, 2019 National League
Barrow vs Aldershot
1:0
Sep 7, 2019 National League
Aldershot vs Barrow
1:2
Mar 9, 2019 National League
Barrow vs Aldershot
2:1
Nov 24, 2018 National League
Aldershot vs Barrow
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Harper R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Aldershot Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 85 / 100
Aldershot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barrow Aldershot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barrow scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Barrow stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aldershot let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Aldershot
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)
07 Nov
Gillingham
0 : 1
Barrow
31 Oct
Barrow
1 : 1
Eastleigh
27 Oct
Halifax
2 : 3
Barrow
20 Oct
Gloucester City
0 : 2
Barrow
17 Oct
Barrow
0 : 0
Gloucester City
Page 1 of 6

Aldershot

(Away)
07 Nov
Barnsley
7 : 2
Aldershot
03 Nov
Aldershot
0 : 5
Ipswich U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0
Gateshead
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Aldershot
0 : 1
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)