Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barrow vs Scunthorpe

England England

National League Holker Street, Barrow in Furness
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barrow host Scunthorpe in the National League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Barrow at 1.17 goals for, 1.48 against; Scunthorpe at 1.73 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Barrow slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2022, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.44) point toward Scunthorpe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Barrow
20%
Draws
34%
Scunthorpe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Scunthorpe have won more games recently than Barrow.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Barrow Clean Sheet 16%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barrow Scunthorpe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2022 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Barrow
0:1
Oct 19, 2021 League Two
Barrow vs Scunthorpe
1:1
Aug 10, 2021 EFL Cup
Barrow vs Scunthorpe
1:0
Jan 16, 2021 League Two
Barrow vs Scunthorpe
1:0
Dec 15, 2020 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Barrow
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 39 / 100
Scunthorpe 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barrow Scunthorpe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barrow's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scunthorpe let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Barrow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Scunthorpe
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0
Aldershot
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0
Barrow
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2
Barrow
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

Scunthorpe

(Away)
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2
Harrogate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)