Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barrow vs Sutton

England England

National League Holker Street, Barrow in Furness
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Williams M.
Assist: Ward K.
44'
Cameron I.
46'
Sub
Cameron I. In: Reid A.
Out: Cameron I.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Barrow and Sutton finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Barrow
20%
Draws
30%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sutton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Barrow a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barrow Clean Sheet 19%
Sutton Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barrow Sutton
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Barrow vs Sutton
3:0
Jan 13, 2024 League Two
Sutton vs Barrow
2:2
Aug 12, 2023 League Two
Barrow vs Sutton
2:1
Mar 11, 2023 League Two
Barrow vs Sutton
0:0
Aug 13, 2022 League Two
Sutton vs Barrow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marriott I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sutton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 85 / 100
Sutton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barrow Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barrow scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Sutton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Barrow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Sutton
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0
Barrow
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2
Barrow
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Barrow
28 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2
Yeovil
Page 1 of 7

Sutton

(Away)
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 8 6 2 0 19:10 20
2 AFC Fylde 8 5 2 1 19:11 17
3 Southend 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
4 Kidderminster 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 Harrogate 8 5 1 2 19:12 16
6 Aldershot 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
7 Sutton 8 5 0 3 9:9 15
8 Forest Green 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
9 Halifax 8 4 0 4 13:10 12
10 Yeovil 8 3 3 2 14:13 12
11 Hornchurch 8 4 0 4 10:12 12
12 Altrincham 8 4 0 4 10:14 12
13 Worthing FC 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
14 Eastleigh 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
15 Carlisle 8 2 4 2 16:13 10
16 Hartlepool 8 3 0 5 6:8 9
17 Woking 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
18 Boston United 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
19 Wealdstone 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
20 Scunthorpe 8 2 1 5 11:14 7
21 Barrow 8 1 3 4 10:12 6
22 Tamworth 8 1 2 5 14:22 5
23 Gateshead 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
24 Solihull Moors 8 1 1 6 8:19 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)