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Barrow vs Sutton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Holker Street, Barrow in Furness
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Williams M.
Assist: Ward K.
44'
Cameron I.
46'
Sub
Cameron I. In: Reid A.
Out: Cameron I.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Barrow and Sutton finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Barrow
20%
Draws
42%
Sutton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sutton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sutton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Barrow a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barrow Clean Sheet 20%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barrow Sutton
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 National League
Barrow vs Sutton
3:0
Jan 13, 2024 League Two
Sutton vs Barrow
2:2
Aug 12, 2023 League Two
Barrow vs Sutton
2:1
Mar 11, 2023 League Two
Barrow vs Sutton
0:0
Aug 13, 2022 League Two
Sutton vs Barrow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marriott I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sutton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 36 / 100
Sutton 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barrow Sutton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barrow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Barrow's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sutton conceded in 63% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Sutton
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)
31 Oct
Barrow
1 : 1
Eastleigh
27 Oct
Halifax
2 : 3
Barrow
20 Oct
Gloucester City
0 : 2
Barrow
17 Oct
Barrow
0 : 0
Gloucester City
10 Oct
Tamworth
1 : 2
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

Sutton

(Away)
03 Nov
Sutton
1 : 0
Southampton U21
31 Oct
Worthing FC
0 : 3
Sutton
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1
Sutton
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0
Truro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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