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Barrow vs Wealdstone

England England

National League Holker Street, Barrow in Furness
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barrow host Wealdstone in the National League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Barrow at 1.29 goals for, 1.5 against; Wealdstone at 1.55 for, 1.42 against. Past meetings favor Wealdstone slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 14, 2012, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.50, favoring Wealdstone. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Barrow
15%
Draws
40%
Wealdstone
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wealdstone lately — more wins on the board than Barrow.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Barrow Clean Sheet 16%
Wealdstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barrow Wealdstone
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2012 FA Trophy
Wealdstone vs Barrow
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 31 / 100
Wealdstone 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barrow Wealdstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barrow scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Wealdstone conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Barrow has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Wealdstone
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)
26 Sept
Southend
2 : 4
Barrow
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0
Aldershot
15 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 0
Barrow
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2
Barrow
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

Wealdstone

(Away)
26 Sept
Wealdstone
4 : 0
Gateshead
19 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 1
Wealdstone
15 Sept
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Halifax
12 Sept
Boston United
1 : 3
Wealdstone
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 10 8 2 0 26:11 26
2 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
3 AFC Fylde 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Harrogate 10 6 1 3 24:17 19
5 Aldershot 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Yeovil 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
7 Kidderminster 10 5 3 2 13:8 18
8 Altrincham 10 6 0 4 15:15 18
9 Worthing FC 10 5 2 3 19:16 17
10 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
11 Hornchurch 10 5 0 5 11:15 15
12 Forest Green 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
14 Halifax 10 4 1 5 15:13 13
15 Woking 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
16 Barrow 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
17 Wealdstone 10 3 2 5 15:15 11
18 Boston United 10 3 2 5 13:14 11
19 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 18:19 10
20 Scunthorpe 10 3 1 6 15:16 10
21 Hartlepool 10 3 0 7 8:15 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 10 1 1 8 9:26 4
24 Gateshead 10 1 1 8 6:24 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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