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Barry Town vs Cambrian United Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Jenner Park, Barry
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Wright J.
45'
Woodford J.
50' Event
Sainty C.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Barry Town and Cambrian United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barry Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barry Town
20%
Draws
57%
Cambrian United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cambrian United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cambrian United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barry Town are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • History favors Barry Town here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%
Cambrian United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town Cambrian United
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 19 23
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.83 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Cambrian United
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 League Cup
Cambrian United vs Barry Town
0:3
Feb 18, 2023 Cymru South
Barry Town vs Cambrian United
4:2
Nov 18, 2022 Cymru South
Cambrian United vs Barry Town
1:2
Mar 2, 2019 FAW Welsh Cup
Barry Town vs Cambrian United
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barry Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Sainty C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smith D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Cambrian United Compare

Top Goalscorer Eason L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town 34 / 100
Cambrian United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town Cambrian United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barry Town found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cambrian United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Barry Town remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town VS Cambrian United
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
Page 1 of 6

Cambrian United

(Away)
26 Sept
Cambrian United
4 : 3
Llandudno FC
18 Sept
Caernarfon
9 : 1
Cambrian United
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 11 10 1 0 29:5 31
2 Penybont 11 8 3 0 22:9 27
3 Connahs Q. 11 8 1 2 27:8 25
4 Caernarfon 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
5 Colwyn Bay 11 7 1 3 21:14 22
6 Barry Town 11 7 1 3 26:20 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 11 5 3 3 22:13 18
8 Cambrian United 11 5 3 3 21:23 18
9 Llandudno FC 11 5 1 5 21:18 16
10 Airbus UK Broughton FC 11 5 0 6 18:17 15
11 Haverfordwest 11 3 1 7 7:16 10
12 Briton Ferry 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
13 Flint Town 11 1 2 8 11:24 5
14 Trefelin 11 0 3 8 5:27 3
15 Ammanford Town 11 0 3 8 7:31 3
16 Holywell Town FC 11 0 2 9 12:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)