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Barry Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Jenner Park, Barry
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Jones S.
37'
Sub
Reynolds R. In: McKenzie M.
Out: Reynolds R.
60'
Sub
Crosbie J. In: Shaw J.
Out: Crosbie J.

AI Match Summary

Barry Town in this Cymru Premier matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barry Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Barry Town
35%
Draws
39%
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cardiff Metropolitan University

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Barry Town have won more games recently than Cardiff Metropolitan University.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 14%
Cardiff Metropolitan University Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town Cardiff Metropolitan University
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 10
Draws 2 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.81 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:0
Dec 26, 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Barry Town
1:1
Dec 10, 2024 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Cardiff Metropolitan University
2:1
Aug 16, 2024 Cymru Premier
Cardiff Metropolitan University vs Barry Town
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barry Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Cardiff Metropolitan University Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town 31 / 100
Cardiff Metropolitan University 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town Cardiff Metropolitan University

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cardiff Metropolitan University Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barry Town scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Cardiff Metropolitan University conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Barry Town has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town VS Cardiff Metropolitan University
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0
Barry Town
Page 1 of 7

Cardiff Metropolitan University

(Away)
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Caernarfon
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
11 Sept
Flint Town
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
04 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 2
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 11 10 1 0 29:5 31
2 Penybont 11 8 3 0 22:9 27
3 Connahs Q. 11 8 1 2 27:8 25
4 Caernarfon 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
5 Colwyn Bay 11 7 1 3 21:14 22
6 Barry Town 11 7 1 3 26:20 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 11 5 3 3 22:13 18
8 Cambrian United 11 5 3 3 21:23 18
9 Llandudno FC 11 5 1 5 21:18 16
10 Airbus UK Broughton FC 11 5 0 6 18:17 15
11 Haverfordwest 11 3 1 7 7:16 10
12 Briton Ferry 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
13 Flint Town 11 1 2 8 11:24 5
14 Trefelin 11 0 3 8 5:27 3
15 Ammanford Town 11 0 3 8 7:31 3
16 Holywell Town FC 11 0 2 9 12:36 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)