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Barry Town vs Haverfordwest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Jenner Park, Barry
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barry Town host Haverfordwest in the Cymru Premier. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Barry Town have averaged 1.86 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Haverfordwest's 1.38 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Barry Town have won 3 to Haverfordwest's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.88 - 1.50) back Barry Town to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Barry Town
15%
Draws
39%
Haverfordwest
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barry Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barry Town come out ahead of Haverfordwest on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 16%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town Haverfordwest
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 2 1
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Haverfordwest
1:2
Nov 28, 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Haverfordwest
4:0
Nov 4, 2025 League Cup
Haverfordwest vs Barry Town
0:2
Sep 23, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Barry Town
2:3
Jan 14, 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Haverfordwest
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town 31 / 100
Haverfordwest 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town Haverfordwest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barry Town found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Haverfordwest has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Barry Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town VS Haverfordwest
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 6

Haverfordwest

(Away)
03 Oct
Haverfordwest
0 : 1
Flint Town
29 Sept
Cardiff Metropolitan University
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)