Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barry Town vs Llanelli

Wales Wales

League Cup Jenner Park, Barry
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Owen I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Barry Town
15%
Draws
7%
Llanelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barry Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Barry Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barry Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Barry Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Barry Town, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Barry Town have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 68%
Llanelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town Llanelli
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 3
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.87 0.59
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Llanelli
5:1
Nov 21, 2025 FA Cup
Llanelli vs Barry Town
0:6
Sep 10, 2025 League Cup
Barry Town vs Llanelli
1:0
Aug 8, 2025 Cymru Premier
Llanelli vs Barry Town
0:2
Aug 2, 2024 League Cup
Barry Town vs Llanelli
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barry Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Llanelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.59
Avg xA / game 0.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town 95 / 100
Llanelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town Llanelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barry Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barry Town scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Llanelli let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Barry Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town VS Llanelli
2.13 Goals Scored 0.29
1 Goals Conceded 3.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University
07 Aug
Flint Town
2 : 3
Barry Town
31 Jul
Barry Town
2 : 1
Cambrian United
25 Jul
Barry Town
0 : 1
Gloucester City
18 Jul
Weymouth
2 : 3
Barry Town
Page 1 of 6

Llanelli

(Away)
15 Aug
Pure Swansea
3 : 0
Llanelli
07 Aug
Llanelli
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
31 Jul
Llanelli
1 : 4
Newport City
25 Jul
Haverfordwest
8 : 0
Llanelli
18 Apr
Haverfordwest
6 : 0
Llanelli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ruthin Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caernarfon -
TBD -
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Flint Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Holyhead 0
Buckley 4
TBD -
Newtown -
Guilsfield 3
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Bala -
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
Gresford 3
Brickfield Rangers 0
Rhyl 2
Caersws FC 1
Denbigh 3
Flint Mountain 1
Treowen 2
Cambrian United 3
Cardiff U21 1
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Caerau Ely 3
Trefelin 4
TBD -
Penybont -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Newport City 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Llantwit Major 1
Afan Lido 2
Swansea U21 4
Carmarthen Town 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Ynyshir Albions 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
1/16-finals
Ruthin Town 0
Connahs Q. 9
TNS 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caernarfon 3
Colwyn Bay 0
Flint Town 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Buckley 2
Newtown 3
Guilsfield 2
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 7
Gresford 0
Rhyl 2
Denbigh 3
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff U21 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Pontypridd United 0
Trefelin 1
Penybont 6
Briton Ferry 3
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Haverfordwest 5
Newport City 0
Afan Lido 0
Swansea U21 5
Barry Town 2
Aberystwyth 1
Ynyshir Albions 1
Llanelli 4
1/8-finals
Connahs Q. 1
TNS 3
Caernarfon 3
Holywell Town FC 2
Newtown 2
Bala 1
Llandudno FC 3
Denbigh 1
Cambrian United 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Penybont 2
Briton Ferry 3
Haverfordwest 4
Swansea U21 1
Barry Town 1
Llanelli 0
Quarter-finals
TNS 3
Caernarfon 0
Newtown 3
Llandudno FC 6
Cambrian United 1
Briton Ferry 0
Haverfordwest 0
Barry Town 2
Semi-finals
TNS 2
Llandudno FC 1
Cambrian United 0
Barry Town 3
Final
TNS 0
Barry Town 2