Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barry Town vs Tredegar Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Jenner Park, Barry
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Barry Town are expected to control this from the start. Barry Town have averaged 2.13 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Tredegar Town's 0.67 scored and 2 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.79 vs 1.06, favoring Barry Town. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Barry Town
15%
Draws
0%
Tredegar Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barry Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Barry Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Barry Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 20%
Tredegar Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town Tredegar Town
Matches Played 38 3
Wins 24 0
Draws 4 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 2.13 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.29 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town 36 / 100
Tredegar Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town Tredegar Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tredegar Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barry Town's goal record stands at 92% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Tredegar Town let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Tredegar Town's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Recent resilience: Barry Town stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town VS Tredegar Town
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 8

Tredegar Town

(Away)
20 Sept
Tredegar Town
1 : 3
Glynneath Town
19 Oct
Cefn Cribwr
2 : 1
Tredegar Town
13 Sept
Tredegar Town
0 : 1
Gresford

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TNS -
Coedpoeth -
Guilsfield -
Llannefydd -
Llandudno FC -
Newtown -
Llanuwchllyn -
Bala -
Holyhead -
Connahs Q. -
Porthmadog -
Penycae FC -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Aberystwyth -
Prestatyn -
Flint Town -
Caernarfon -
Llay Welfare -
Holywell Town FC -
Buckley -
Colwyn Bay -
Brickfield Rangers -
Llangefni -
Denbigh -
Bangor 1876 -
Cefn Albion -
Felinheli -
Llysfaen -
Mochdre Sports -
Pontarddulais -
Goytre Utd -
Trefelin -
Llantwit Major -
Afan Lido -
Penybont -
Caerau Ely -
Llanelli -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Ely Rangers -
Radnor Valley -
Cardiff Draconians -
Barry Town -
Tredegar Town -
Cwmaman Institute -
Ammanford Town -
Llangennech -
Pontardawe -
Caerphilly -
Chepstow Town -
Evans Williams -
Rockspur -
Briton Ferry -
Afan United -
Llantwit Fardre -
Baglan Dragons -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Ynyshir Albions -
Cambrian United -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Carmarthen Town -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Cardiff Corries -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -