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Bartolome Mitre vs Boca Unidos Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni, Posadas
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bartolome Mitre have averaged 0.83 scored and 0.73 conceded recently, against Boca Unidos's 1.37 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Bartolome Mitre have won 2 to Boca Unidos's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.50) point toward Bartolome Mitre. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Bartolome Mitre
30%
Draws
47%
Boca Unidos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boca Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Boca Unidos lately — more wins on the board than Bartolome Mitre.
  • Model gives Boca Unidos a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Boca Unidos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bartolome Mitre, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 16%
Boca Unidos Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bartolome Mitre Boca Unidos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.73 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Bartolome Mitre
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Boca Unidos
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Bartolome Mitre
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Bartolome Mitre
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Boca Unidos
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bartolome Mitre 10 / 100
Boca Unidos 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bartolome Mitre Boca Unidos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Unidos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boca Unidos conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Bartolome Mitre scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Bartolome Mitre went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bartolome Mitre VS Boca Unidos
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bartolome Mitre

(Home)
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0
San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3
Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 6

Boca Unidos

(Away)
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3
Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
El Linqueno
1 : 0
Boca Unidos
06 Sept
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
29 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 2
Boca Unidos
23 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
TBD -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras -
Juventud Antoniana -
TBD -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM -
San Martin Mendoza -
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
TBD -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
TBD -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -