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Bartolome Mitre vs Costa Brava

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Sub
Noriega B. In: Montero B.
Out: Noriega B.
45' Event
Espindola M.
46'
Rodriguez R.

AI Match Summary

Bartolome Mitre play Costa Brava in the Torneo Federal 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bartolome Mitre averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. Costa Brava averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Bartolome Mitre won 0, Costa Brava won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 12, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Bartolome Mitre and 0.51 for Costa Brava. This points to a Bartolome Mitre double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bartolome Mitre
40%
Draws
29%
Costa Brava
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bartolome Mitre has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Costa Brava.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Torneo Federal 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 68%
Costa Brava Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bartolome Mitre Costa Brava
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2025 Torneo Federal
Costa Brava vs Bartolome Mitre
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Costa Brava
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bartolome Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Espindola M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Costa Brava Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bartolome Mitre 42 / 100
Costa Brava 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bartolome Mitre Costa Brava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bartolome Mitre scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Costa Brava let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Bartolome Mitre went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Costa Brava lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bartolome Mitre VS Costa Brava
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Villa Mitre2
Guillermo Brown4
TBD-
Sportivo Belgrano-
Cipolletti0
Kimberley1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2
Juventud U.U.0
Independiente Chivilcoy3
Douglas Haig4
Argentino MM-
TBD-
Juventud Antoniana3
Boca Unidos2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy3
El Linqueno2
9 de Julio Rafaela6
Germinal1
Deportivo Rincon5
Sportivo Las Parejas2
Costa Brava1
Bartolome Mitre1
San Martin Formosa2
Sol de Mayo2
Biblioteca Atenas5
Sarmiento Resistencia0
Sarmiento de La Banda1
San Martin Mendoza1
1/8-finals
Atl. Rafaela-
TBD-
Guillermo Brown2
Sportivo Belgrano1
Kimberley2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca4
Douglas Haig3
Argentino MM1
Juventud Antoniana1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy2
9 de Julio Rafaela2
Deportivo Rincon1
Costa Brava2
San Martin Formosa3
Biblioteca Atenas2
Sarmiento de La Banda0
Quarter-finals
Atl. Rafaela3
Guillermo Brown1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca0
Douglas Haig6
Gimnasia Chivilcoy1
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa4
Biblioteca Atenas1
Semi-finals
Atl. Rafaela4
Douglas Haig2
9 de Julio Rafaela3
San Martin Formosa5
Final
Atl. Rafaela2
San Martin Formosa0