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Bartolome Mitre vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni, Posadas
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Fiol F.
46'
Sub
Medina R. In: Visser B.
Out: Medina R.
46'
Sub
Ferreira P. In: Millan J.
Out: Ferreira P.

AI Match Summary

Gimnasia Chivilcoy in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnasia Chivilcoy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Bartolome Mitre
20%
Draws
61%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Gimnasia Chivilcoy have won more games recently than Bartolome Mitre.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Gimnasia Chivilcoy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 22%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bartolome Mitre Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.83 0.84
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bartolome Mitre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiol F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bartolome Mitre 13 / 100
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bartolome Mitre Gimnasia Chivilcoy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gimnasia Chivilcoy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bartolome Mitre found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Gimnasia Chivilcoy let in goals in 42% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bartolome Mitre stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bartolome Mitre VS Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bartolome Mitre

(Home)
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0
San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3
Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia Chivilcoy

(Away)
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0
Sol de America
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0
Sarmiento de La Banda
23 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
2 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 8 4 3 1 6:2 15
3 Sol de America 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 8 4 1 3 6:3 13
5 Douglas Haig 8 3 3 2 12:7 12
6 9 de Julio Rafaela 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
7 Bartolome Mitre 8 1 2 5 3:10 5
8 Sarmiento de La Banda 8 1 2 5 6:14 5
9 Sportivo Belgrano 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alvarado 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Cipolletti 8 4 3 1 10:7 15
3 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 8 3 4 1 7:4 13
4 Biblioteca Atenas 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
5 Kimberley 8 3 2 3 8:6 11
6 Argentino MM 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
7 Villa Mitre 8 2 4 2 5:4 10
8 Huracan Las Heras 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
9 Juventud Antoniana 8 0 2 6 1:12 2
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)