Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni

Match Events

34'

Esquivel L.

58'

Piris O.

Own Goal

63'

Sub

Barrientos M. In: Basualdo L.

Out: Barrientos M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bartolome Mitre play San Martin Formosa in the Torneo Federal. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bartolome Mitre averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. San Martin Formosa averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Bartolome Mitre won 1, San Martin Formosa won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Bartolome Mitre and 1.38 for San Martin Formosa. This points to a Bartolome Mitre double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Bartolome Mitre

33%

Draws

27%

San Martin Formosa

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Bartolome Mitre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

San Martin Formosa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bartolome Mitre.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Bartolome Mitre.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Torneo Federal provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 68%

San Martin Formosa Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bartolome Mitre	San Martin Formosa
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	12	13
Draws	10	5
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.13	2.25
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Torneo Federal

Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Jun 1, 2025 Torneo Federal

Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal

San Martin Formosa vs Bartolome Mitre

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bartolome Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Penaloza J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

San Martin Formosa Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bartolome Mitre 50 / 100

San Martin Formosa 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bartolome Mitre San Martin Formosa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bartolome Mitre scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

San Martin Formosa let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Bartolome Mitre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Martin Formosa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bartolome Mitre VS San Martin Formosa

1.13 Goals Scored 2.25

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 75%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	17	7	8	2	19:7	29
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15:10	26
4	9 de Julio Rafaela	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
5	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	16	6	5	5	20:17	23
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11:12	23
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14:21	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	17	4	5	8	12:17	17
10	El Linqueno	17	4	4	9	13:21	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	15	8	3	4	24:19	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	15	7	5	3	13:6	26
3	Sol de America	15	8	2	5	18:12	26
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	15	7	3	5	16:14	24
5	Juventud Antoniana	15	6	4	5	16:11	22
6	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	19
7	Boca Unidos	15	5	3	7	19:22	18
8	Tucuman Central	15	5	1	9	13:18	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	15	5	7	3	15:11	22
3	Biblioteca Atenas	15	6	4	5	12:13	22
4	Huracan Las Heras	15	6	4	5	11:13	22
5	Fundacion Amigos	15	4	8	3	17:14	20
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	15	4	6	5	10:14	18
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	15	4	4	7	12:16	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	15	7	7	1	11:4	28
2	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
3	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
4	Villa Mitre	15	5	7	3	11:5	22
5	Germinal	15	4	6	5	7:12	18
6	Sol de Mayo	15	4	5	6	12:15	17
7	Guillermo Brown	15	3	5	7	11:20	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	15	2	6	7	7:15	12