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Barwell vs Long Eaton

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ward G.
57' Event
Dunkley T.
71' Event
Lita L.

AI Match Summary

Barwell in this Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barwell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Barwell
15%
Draws
12%
Long Eaton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barwell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barwell lately — more wins on the board than Long Eaton.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Barwell taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Barwell Clean Sheet 68%
Long Eaton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barwell Long Eaton
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 6 4
Draws 7 7
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.09 1.28
Goals Conceded 2 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Long Eaton
3:0
Jan 1, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Long Eaton vs Barwell
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barwell Compare

Top Goalscorer Ward G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dunkley T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Long Eaton Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barwell 77 / 100
Long Eaton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barwell Long Eaton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barwell Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Long Eaton let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Barwell found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Long Eaton lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barwell VS Long Eaton
1 Goals Scored 2
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Barwell

(Home)
29 Aug
Loughborough Students
1 : 0
Barwell
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2
Barwell
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1
Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3
Bury Town
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1
Barwell
Page 1 of 7

Long Eaton

(Away)
11 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 2
Redditch
06 Sept
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Carlton Town
30 Aug
Long Eaton
1 : 4
Kettering
26 Jul
Long Eaton
2 : 3
Rushall
31 Aug
Newcastle Town
2 : 1
Long Eaton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Needham Market 40 26 7 7 74:34 85
2 Telford 40 24 10 6 69:34 82
3 Leamington 40 19 14 7 61:32 71
4 Redditch 40 21 7 12 65:52 70
5 Mickleover 40 25 6 9 77:43 69
6 Stratford 40 21 6 13 69:57 69
7 Stamford 40 19 9 12 80:58 66
8 Halesowen 40 18 8 14 54:50 62
9 St Ives Town 40 18 4 18 87:72 58
10 Royston Town 40 17 6 17 63:61 57
11 Coalville Town 40 15 10 15 68:57 55
12 Stourbridge 40 14 10 16 52:50 52
13 Leiston 40 14 10 16 56:71 52
14 Barwell 40 13 12 15 64:65 51
15 Kettering 40 13 9 18 49:74 48
16 Alvechurch 40 12 9 19 49:70 45
17 Bromsgrove 40 12 8 20 44:51 44
18 Sudbury 40 10 10 20 53:62 40
19 Hitchin 40 11 6 23 46:64 39
20 Long Eaton 40 5 7 28 39:109 22
21 Berkhamsted Town 40 3 12 25 31:84 21
22 Nuneaton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2023/2024 (Play Offs)