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Barycz Sulow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Puchala A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Barycz Sulow and Zaglebie Sosnowiec finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barycz Sulow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Barycz Sulow
20%
Draws
56%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zaglebie Sosnowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barycz Sulow come out ahead of Zaglebie Sosnowiec on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Barycz Sulow Clean Sheet 16%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barycz Sulow Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Barycz Sulow vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barycz Sulow Compare

Top Goalscorer Puchala A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Zaglebie Sosnowiec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barycz Sulow 31 / 100
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barycz Sulow Zaglebie Sosnowiec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barycz Sulow scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Zaglebie Sosnowiec conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Barycz Sulow stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Barycz Sulow VS Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barycz Sulow

(Home)
10 Oct
Barycz Sulow
1 : 1
Brzeg
03 Oct
Stilon Gorzow
2 : 1
Barycz Sulow
26 Sept
Barycz Sulow
3 : 3
Zaglebie II
18 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 0
Barycz Sulow
12 Sept
Barycz Sulow
2 : 1
Polkowice
Page 1 of 6

Zaglebie Sosnowiec

(Away)
10 Oct
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1 : 0
Kluczbork
03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Polonia Nysa
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)