Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basa vs Guria Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup 2023
Basa Logo

Basa

Sat, May 27, 2023
2 - 4
11:30 AM
Guria Logo

Guria

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Tabidze V.
70' Event
Rekish D.
76' Event
Vardishvili L.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guria in this Georgian Cup 2023 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Basa
15%
Draws
64%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guria lately — more wins on the board than Basa.
  • Model gives Guria a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Guria arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guria, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Basa Clean Sheet 10%
Guria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basa Guria
Matches Played 3 31
Wins 1 20
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 1.33 2.71
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2023 Georgian Cup
Basa vs Guria
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Guria Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabidze V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rekish D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basa 10 / 100
Guria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basa Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Basa's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 3 recent games.

Guria let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Basa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basa VS Guria
1 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basa

(Home)
25 Jul
Basa
0 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
26 Jun
Basa
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
27 May
Basa
2 : 4
Guria

Guria

(Away)
17 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
10 Sept
FC Gardabani
0 : 5
Guria
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
TBD -
TBD -
Merani Tbilisi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 0
WIT Georgia 1
TBD -
Telavi -
Basa 2
Guria 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
WIT Georgia 2 3
Skuri Tsalenjikha 1
Gori 2
Khobi 4
Samgurali -
TBD -
TBD -
Gagra -
Locomotive Tbilisi -
TBD -
TBD -
Shukura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Betlemi Keda 4
Dusheti 1
Tskhumi Sokhumi 2
Gonio 6
Matchakhela 3
Iberia 1999 2 2
Merani Martvili 2 2
Kolkheti 1913 3
UG-35 1
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 2
TBD -
Spaeri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Orbi 5
Borjomi 1
TBD -
Merani Martvili -
Shukura 2 2
Tbilisi City 1
FC Gardabani 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Bolnisi -
TBD -
TBD -
Samtredia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
1/16-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 4
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dila Gori -
WIT Georgia 2
Telavi 3
Guria 0
Iberia 1999 4
WIT Georgia 2 0
Khobi 4
Samgurali 3
Gagra 0
Locomotive Tbilisi 3
Shukura 0
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Betlemi Keda 1
Gonio 0
Matchakhela 1
Kolkheti 1913 7
Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 0
Spaeri 3
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Orbi 4
Merani Martvili 0
Shukura 2 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
Bolnisi 4
Samtredia 1
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Dila Gori 2
Telavi 0
Iberia 1999 1
Khobi 1
Samgurali 3
Locomotive Tbilisi 0
Dinamo Tbilisi 1
Betlemi Keda 1
Kolkheti 1913 2
Spaeri 0
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Orbi 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli 1
Bolnisi 0
Dinamo Batumi 2
Quarter-finals
Dila Gori 0
Iberia 1999 1
Samgurali 2
Dinamo Tbilisi 1
Kolkheti 1913 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 1
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Semi-finals
Iberia 1999 2
Samgurali 1
Kolkheti 1913 1
Dinamo Batumi 3
Final
Iberia 1999 1
Dinamo Batumi 0