Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basaksehir vs Gaziantep

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basaksehir host Gaziantep in the Super Lig. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Basaksehir have averaged 1.66 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Gaziantep's 1.33 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Basaksehir slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.38) point toward Basaksehir. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Basaksehir
20%
Draws
51%
Gaziantep
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaziantep

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Basaksehir have won more games recently than Gaziantep.
  • Model gives Basaksehir a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Basaksehir have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 17%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basaksehir Gaziantep
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir
1:2
Dec 22, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Gaziantep
5:1
Apr 20, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Gaziantep
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir
3:0
Feb 24, 2024 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basaksehir 36 / 100
Gaziantep 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basaksehir Gaziantep

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basaksehir scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Gaziantep has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Basaksehir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basaksehir VS Gaziantep
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Basaksehir

(Home)
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0
Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
23 Aug
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Basaksehir
Page 1 of 6

Gaziantep

(Away)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
14 Sept
Gaziantep
0 : 0
Fenerbahce
07 Sept
Goztepe
2 : 4
Gaziantep
29 Aug
Gaziantep
1 : 2
Rizespor
23 Aug
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Gaziantep
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)