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Basaksehir vs Gaziantep - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Shomurodov E.
30'
Brnic I.
36'
Ak O.

AI Match Summary

Basaksehir in this Super Lig matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basaksehir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Basaksehir
15%
Draws
20%
Gaziantep
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basaksehir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Basaksehir have won more games recently than Gaziantep.
  • Model gives Basaksehir a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Basaksehir have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 17%
Gaziantep Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basaksehir Gaziantep
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Gaziantep
2:1
May 16, 2026 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir
1:2
Dec 22, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Gaziantep
5:1
Apr 20, 2025 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Gaziantep
2:1
Nov 23, 2024 Super Lig
Gaziantep vs Basaksehir
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basaksehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Shomurodov E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gunes U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gaziantep Compare

Top Goalscorer Dursun S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basaksehir 66 / 100
Gaziantep 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basaksehir Gaziantep

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basaksehir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaziantep has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Basaksehir scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Basaksehir stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basaksehir VS Gaziantep
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basaksehir

(Home)
07 Nov
Goztepe
1 : 2
Basaksehir
01 Nov
Basaksehir
5 : 2
Samsunspor
26 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 0
Basaksehir
18 Oct
Basaksehir
2 : 1
Gaziantep
11 Oct
Konyaspor
0 : 0
Basaksehir
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Gaziantep

(Away)
06 Nov
Gaziantep
0 : 2
Kasimpasa
01 Nov
Trabzonspor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
27 Oct
Etimesgut
0 : 4
Gaziantep
24 Oct
Gaziantep
1 : 3
Erzurumspor FK
18 Oct
Basaksehir
2 : 1
Gaziantep
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 11 9 1 1 27:15 28
2 Trabzonspor 11 8 1 2 26:8 25
3 Amedspor 11 7 2 2 28:15 23
4 Besiktas 11 7 1 3 23:12 22
5 Kasimpasa 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
6 Fenerbahce 11 6 1 4 29:10 19
7 Kocaelispor 11 6 1 4 13:9 19
8 Basaksehir 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
9 Corum FK 11 5 1 5 21:21 16
10 Goztepe 11 4 3 4 22:19 15
11 Rizespor 11 4 2 5 13:16 14
12 Erzurumspor FK 11 4 2 5 10:17 14
13 Alanyaspor 11 3 3 5 9:18 12
14 Genclerbirligi 11 3 2 6 12:21 11
15 Konyaspor 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
16 Gaziantep 11 2 2 7 9:19 8
17 Samsunspor 11 2 1 8 11:26 7
18 Eyupspor 11 1 0 10 3:30 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)