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Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Skov Olsen A.
Assist: Brnic I.
24'
Sub
Traore A. In: Luis R.
Out: Traore A.
26'
Dursun A.

AI Match Summary

The Super Lig game between Basaksehir and Genclerbirligi finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basaksehir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Basaksehir
20%
Draws
16%
Genclerbirligi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basaksehir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basaksehir come out ahead of Genclerbirligi on wins alone.
  • Basaksehir are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Basaksehir have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 20%
Genclerbirligi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basaksehir Genclerbirligi
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.57 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi
4:0
Apr 11, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi
3:0
Nov 7, 2025 Super Lig
Genclerbirligi vs Basaksehir
2:1
Mar 7, 2021 Super Lig
Genclerbirligi vs Basaksehir
0:1
Nov 8, 2020 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Genclerbirligi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basaksehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Shomurodov E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Skov Olsen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Genclerbirligi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basaksehir 85 / 100
Genclerbirligi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basaksehir Genclerbirligi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basaksehir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basaksehir's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Genclerbirligi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Genclerbirligi has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basaksehir VS Genclerbirligi
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basaksehir

(Home)
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0
Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
23 Aug
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Basaksehir
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Genclerbirligi

(Away)
03 Oct
Genclerbirligi
0 : 1
Keciorengucu
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0
Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Trabzonspor
5 : 0
Genclerbirligi
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1
Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)