Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Opoku J.
13'
Kemen O.
18' Event
Shomurodov E.
Assist: Bozok U.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super Lig matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Basaksehir
35%
Draws
45%
Kasimpasa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kasimpasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Basaksehir lately — more wins on the board than Kasimpasa.
  • Win probability leans Kasimpasa's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 17%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basaksehir Kasimpasa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Basaksehir
1:3
May 18, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Basaksehir
2:3
Dec 23, 2024 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basaksehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Shomurodov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Kasimpasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Diabate F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basaksehir 28 / 100
Kasimpasa 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basaksehir Kasimpasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kasimpasa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basaksehir scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Kasimpasa conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Basaksehir has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basaksehir VS Kasimpasa
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basaksehir

(Home)
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0
Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
23 Aug
Trabzonspor
2 : 1
Basaksehir
Page 1 of 6

Kasimpasa

(Away)
18 Sept
Kasimpasa
0 : 0
Konyaspor
13 Sept
Genclerbirligi
1 : 2
Kasimpasa
06 Sept
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Amedspor
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
22 Aug
Corum FK
0 : 1
Kasimpasa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Besiktas 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
3 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
4 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
5 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
6 Amedspor 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
7 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
8 Rizespor 5 3 0 2 5:4 9
9 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Fenerbahce 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
15 Samsunspor 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
16 Erzurumspor FK 5 1 1 3 2:11 4
17 Eyupspor 5 1 0 4 2:8 3
18 Goztepe 5 0 2 3 9:13 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)