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Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Opoku J.
13'
Kemen O.
18' Event
Shomurodov E.
Assist: Bozok U.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super Lig matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Basaksehir
20%
Draws
45%
Kasimpasa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kasimpasa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kasimpasa lately — more wins on the board than Basaksehir.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 13%
Kasimpasa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basaksehir Kasimpasa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
4:0
Nov 29, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Basaksehir
1:3
May 18, 2025 Super Lig
Kasimpasa vs Basaksehir
2:3
Dec 23, 2024 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Kasimpasa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basaksehir Compare

Top Goalscorer Shomurodov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Kasimpasa Compare

Top Goalscorer Diabate F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basaksehir 30 / 100
Kasimpasa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basaksehir Kasimpasa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basaksehir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Basaksehir scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kasimpasa conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Basaksehir has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basaksehir VS Kasimpasa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Basaksehir

(Home)
07 Nov
Goztepe
1 : 2
Basaksehir
01 Nov
Basaksehir
5 : 2
Samsunspor
26 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 0
Basaksehir
18 Oct
Basaksehir
2 : 1
Gaziantep
11 Oct
Konyaspor
0 : 0
Basaksehir
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Kasimpasa

(Away)
06 Nov
Gaziantep
0 : 2
Kasimpasa
01 Nov
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Besiktas
29 Oct
Kasimpasa
3 : 1
Corluspor
24 Oct
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Kasimpasa
18 Oct
Kasimpasa
4 : 1
Samsunspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 11 9 1 1 27:15 28
2 Trabzonspor 11 8 1 2 26:8 25
3 Amedspor 11 7 2 2 28:15 23
4 Besiktas 11 7 1 3 23:12 22
5 Kasimpasa 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
6 Fenerbahce 11 6 1 4 29:10 19
7 Kocaelispor 11 6 1 4 13:9 19
8 Basaksehir 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
9 Corum FK 11 5 1 5 21:21 16
10 Goztepe 11 4 3 4 22:19 15
11 Rizespor 11 4 2 5 13:16 14
12 Erzurumspor FK 11 4 2 5 10:17 14
13 Alanyaspor 11 3 3 5 9:18 12
14 Genclerbirligi 11 3 2 6 12:21 11
15 Konyaspor 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
16 Gaziantep 11 2 2 7 9:19 8
17 Samsunspor 11 2 1 8 11:26 7
18 Eyupspor 11 1 0 10 3:30 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)