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Basconia vs Amorebieta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basconia host Amorebieta in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Basconia at 1.9 goals for, 1.41 against; Amorebieta at 1.14 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Basconia slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.50) back Basconia to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Basconia
30%
Draws
42%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Basconia's 1.9 goals per match outpaces what Amorebieta have produced (1.14).
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Basconia Clean Sheet 16%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Amorebieta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Amorebieta
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Basconia
2:1
Mar 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amorebieta vs Basconia
1:2
Oct 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Amorebieta
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 36 / 100
Amorebieta 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amorebieta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Amorebieta conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Basconia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS Amorebieta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
25 Oct
Basconia
2 : 2
Portugalete
17 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 1
Basconia
10 Oct
Eibar B
1 : 1
Basconia
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1
Llanera
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
24 Oct
Amorebieta
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
17 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Amorebieta
10 Oct
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Portugalete
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Amorebieta
0 : 1
Ourense CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestao 8 6 1 1 9:3 19
2 Alaves B 8 5 2 1 21:11 17
3 Bergantinos 8 5 2 1 19:10 17
4 Eibar B 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
5 Compostela 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
6 Amorebieta 8 4 1 3 10:8 13
7 Ourense CF 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
8 Portugalete 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
9 Real Oviedo B 8 3 2 3 10:14 11
10 Gernika Club 8 2 4 2 15:9 10
11 Basconia 8 2 4 2 13:14 10
12 Coruxo FC 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
13 Atletico Astorga 8 2 1 5 11:12 7
14 Arosa SC 8 1 4 3 12:17 7
15 Marino De Luanco 8 2 1 5 8:13 7
16 Llanera 8 2 1 5 11:19 7
17 Rayo Cantabria 8 1 2 5 10:17 5
18 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)